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    Group GSun, Jun 21, 7:00 PM UTC
    Belgium
    vs
    Iran

    SoFi Stadium

    Win probability

    Belgium 66%
    Draw 21%
    Iran 13%

    Belgium are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Belgium have kept clean sheets in 60% of their last five World Cup matches and won both of their home fixtures in that run, while the head-to-head record shows all six previous World Cup meetings between these sides finished under 2.5 goals. Kevin De Bruyne carries Belgium's highest average match rating at 7.51 across their last ten World Cup appearances, with Ramin Rezaeian leading Iran's xGOT figures at 0.78 in the same span. Both sides drew their most recent World Cup fixtures — Belgium on 15 June and Iran a day later.

    What the data says

    • Belgium have won 5 out of their 6 most recent home World Cup matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    67 predictors

    Belgium

    88%

    Draw

    12%

    Iran

    0%

    Most popular pick: 2-0

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