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    Group GTue, Jun 16, 1:00 AM UTC
    Iran
    vs
    New Zealand

    SoFi Stadium

    Win probability

    Iran 50%
    Draw 29%
    New Zealand 21%

    Iran have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Iran's last World Cup appearance came over 1,294 days ago, while New Zealand have lost 9 of their 11 most recent matches and have yet to win in 24 of their last 30 away fixtures. Neither side has opened the scoring early in recent memory — Iran failed to score an early goal in all six of their most recent World Cup matches, and New Zealand went without an early goal in 9 of their last 10. Five of the last six World Cup meetings between these sides have finished under 2.5 goals.

    What the data says

    • New Zealand have lost 9 out of their 11 most recent matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    73 predictors

    Iran

    66%

    Draw

    18%

    New Zealand

    16%

    Most popular pick: 1-0

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