AT&T Stadium · Arlington
Win probability
Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.
The story
Netherlands are unbeaten in 83 of their 100 most recent matches, with Memphis Depay posting the highest average rating (7.86) and xGOT (0.55) among their players in recent games. Japan return to the World Cup for the first time in 1,291 days, and in five of their six most recent World Cup matches they were not first to score. Under 3.5 goals has been the outcome in five of the last six meetings between these sides.
What other predictors are saying
74 predictorsNetherlands
65%
Draw
19%
Japan
16%
Most popular pick: 2-1
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