NRG Stadium · Houston
Win probability
Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.
The story
Sweden's 5-1 win in their most recent World Cup match stands as the biggest result of either side's current tournament run, with Viktor Gyökeres leading their attack carrying the highest average xG of any player on either squad at 0.56 per match. Netherlands have opened the scoring in all five of their World Cup matches this tournament, while five of the last six World Cup meetings between these sides have stayed under 3.5 goals.
What other predictors are saying
70 predictorsNetherlands
79%
Draw
17%
Sweden
4%
Most popular pick: 2-1
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