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    Group FSat, Jun 20, 5:00 PM UTC
    Netherlands
    vs
    Sweden

    NRG Stadium · Houston

    Win probability

    Netherlands 55%
    Draw 24%
    Sweden 21%

    Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Sweden's 5-1 win in their most recent World Cup match stands as the biggest result of either side's current tournament run, with Viktor Gyökeres leading their attack carrying the highest average xG of any player on either squad at 0.56 per match. Netherlands have opened the scoring in all five of their World Cup matches this tournament, while five of the last six World Cup meetings between these sides have stayed under 3.5 goals.

    What other predictors are saying

    70 predictors

    Netherlands

    79%

    Draw

    17%

    Sweden

    4%

    Most popular pick: 2-1

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