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    Group ITue, Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC
    Norway
    vs
    Senegal

    MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

    Win probability

    Norway 41%
    Draw 28%
    Senegal 32%

    Norway have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Norway are unbeaten in 42 of their 51 most recent home matches and have opened the scoring in 17 of their last 20 games, while Martin Ødegaard leads the squad with an average match rating of 7.72. Senegal arrive having won both of their away World Cup matches in their last five, with Ismaïla Sarr carrying the highest average xG among their attackers at 0.46, though defender Kalidou Koulibaly is absent from the squad. Both teams to score has occurred in 8 of Norway's last 10 matches, and Senegal have conceded 2.0 goals per match in their last five World Cup games.

    What the data says

    • Norway have won 10 out of their 12 most recent home matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    69 predictors

    Norway

    59%

    Draw

    28%

    Senegal

    13%

    Most popular pick: 2-1

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