We use strictly-necessary cookies to keep you signed in. With your consent we also use Google Ads to measure which campaigns bring real signups. See our Privacy Policy.

    Group DFri, Jun 26, 2:00 AM UTC
    Paraguay
    vs
    Australia

    Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara

    Win probability

    Paraguay 43%
    Draw 29%
    Australia 28%

    Paraguay have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Paraguay have won six of their last seven home matches and conceded zero goals in their lone home fixture across the past five, while Australia have lost both of their last two away World Cup matches. Julio Enciso leads Paraguay in average xG per match at 0.36 across their ten most recent fixtures, with Nestory Irankunda filling that role for Australia at 0.28, and under 3.5 goals have been recorded in seven of the last eight World Cup meetings between these sides.

    What the data says

    • Paraguay have won 6 out of their 7 most recent home matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    65 predictors

    Paraguay

    46%

    Draw

    26%

    Australia

    28%

    Most popular pick: 1-0

    Play along

    Make your Paraguay vs Australia pick count

    Predict every match of the World Cup, compete on the leaderboard, and run private leagues with friends.

    Sign up for free →

    More predictions