NRG Stadium · Houston
Win probability
Portugal are heavy favourites.
The story
Portugal have not lost a home World Cup match in their last five attempts, winning all four that reached a result, and they have opened the scoring in each of their last five World Cup fixtures. Bruno Fernandes leads Portugal's performers in World Cup play with an average rating of 7.69, while Gaël Kakuta is Congo DR's standout threat, carrying the highest xG average across their last ten matches at 1.59. The last three meetings between these sides produced under 1.5 goals, and Congo DR have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches overall.
What the data says
- Portugal have won 4 out of their 4 most recent home World Cup matches.
What other predictors are saying
75 predictorsPortugal
97%
Draw
1%
DR Congo
1%
Most popular pick: 3-0
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