Group KTue, Jun 23, 5:00 PM UTC
Portugal
vsUzbekistan
NRG Stadium · Houston
Win probability
Portugal 79%
Draw 14%
Uzbekistan 7%
Portugal are heavy favourites.
The story
Portugal are unbeaten across all six of their most recent home World Cup matches and have scored first in eight of their last ten World Cup games, while Uzbekistan have failed to score first in five of their six most recent matches. Cristiano Ronaldo leads Portugal with an average xG of 0.79 per match in their last ten World Cup games, compared to Abbosbek Fayzullaev's 0.29 for Uzbekistan. Four of the last five World Cup meetings between these sides have finished under 3.5 goals.
What the data says
- Portugal have won 4 out of their 5 most recent home World Cup matches.
What other predictors are saying
68 predictorsPortugal
99%
Draw
1%
Uzbekistan
0%
Most popular pick: 2-0
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